mercoledì 31 ottobre 2012

Fitch off credit rating agencies - why I think down grading Sicily this week is Fitch-ing ridiculous.



On Sunday the conservative Sicilian electorate voted for a completely new political party. This party, called the 5 Star Movement, champions “alternative” solutions to Italy’s problems. Crazy ideas like; investment in local business and infrastructure to make a vibrant sustainable local economy based on ecological respect and political transparency.  However immediately after the regional elections Fitch Ratings downgraded Sicily to little more than junk territory citing possible “political turmoil” for its loss in value. Hey Fitch! What does junk territory actually mean? Since when was a democratic choice for change political turmoil? What are your motives?

Fitch, it’s true, the property in Sicily is currently ONLY useful as HOMES for FAMILIES to LIVE IN. These homes will not dramatically increase in value nor maintain any inflated value given to them in the past any time soon. If junk territory means Sicily is not a location for speculative property investment then that pretty much sums up the situation since the economic collapse in 2008. However, on the plus side, when a property is a home the owners tend to be part of and contribute to the local community. I know no one gets rich quick from such humble existence but the sustainability of such a “life-style” is priceless. For example when I go out the front door of my junk Sicilian property I can go to my local baker. They make fresh bread every day from the famous “black” flour made in this region. This specialty bread that costs me just 1 euro a kilo. I can go to the farmer who sells his organic veg from the back of his little 3 wheeled van on the side of the road. I can pop to the sea side and get fish straight from the fisherman. Somehow my property doesn't sound like junk any more. Especially considering prime property in Manhattan is sitting under water right now.

Fitch, you lie when you say “political turmoil” is your motivation for downgrading Sicily’s credit rating NOW. Before the election results on Monday the region had been governed by two consecutive presidents who left their posts when prosecuted for corruption and mafia connections. One of these presidents now resides in a junk property called JAIL. For the last ten years the region has been mal-governed and dragged into debt by a political plutarchy that’s sole objective has been to get rich quick. Why didn't you down grade Sicily when this criminal behaviour was at its height? What happened on Monday was a vote to change this destructive behaviour by a political elite. The 5 Star Movement, or as you call it  “protest” party, is a real concrete step towards a healthier political environment that puts citizens back in the driving seat. For that last 10 years the politicians in Sicily have been on a wage higher than Barak Obama. The new party has come into office cutting their wages immediately to be in line with the rest of Europe. One day after being elected the new candidates were broadcast on the internet answering questions made by the public in a live twitter feed. They are listening to the problems of and gathering the possible solutions from the people that live on this island. They want to create a program that promotes a healthy local economy.

Fitch, I think you, the banks, the old-school politicians and the corporates are the only people who are feeling any turmoil as a result of this election. After all the future proposed by the 5 Star Movement will make it harder for big corporations to come into Sicily and suck out profit, if those pesky Sicilians keep buying local produce, it will be more difficult for the markets to make money speculating on a stable and sustainable economy and it’s true, there won’t be any housing bubble to profit property portfolios in a region where houses are used as homes.  To me this this “turmoil” feels more like “hope” here in Sicily. If a triple BBB credit rating makes people feel this good then perhaps you should bottle it and sell it.


More about the 5 Star Movement and Beppe Grillo

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